顶部、派发与防守

图中划线这天是2023年7月27日，股魔在MPA中提到：

I mentioned in a recent weekly study session that should the Nasdaq get further extended I would use the subsequent strength for selling, and if we see the markets continue to stay or get even further extended you need to look to use the strength to nail down some profits.

翻译：我在最近的每周学习视频中提到，如果纳斯达克指数进一步延伸，我会利用随后的强势来卖出，如果我们看到市场继续保持或进一步延伸，你需要利用这种强势来锁定一些利润。

If you find the overall market getting extended as well and you don't have much in the way of buyable ideas, it's usually wise to take some profits, reduce exposure and wait for the pullback and another potential wave of setups.

翻译：如果你发现市场整体已经延伸，而你没有太多可买入的股票，那么通常明智的做法是获利了结、减少风险敞口并等待回调，等待下一波潜在的突破。

用在今天的市场，非常合适。

注：最近没有怎么更新一是因为A股整体捡钱模式，没有太多要说的；二是最近花时间把股魔2021年USIC夺冠当年MPA所有盈利交易都做进行了汇总和图形标记，计划以Model Stocks的形式发布，用于大家收藏和反复研读。如果大家对Model Stocks感兴趣，可以点点赞或者留言表达一下，我整理好了会尽快更新。

图中划线这天是2024年7月9日，股魔在MPA中写到：

The important thing to remember is that just because the Nasdaq is overbought is not the main reason we are taking a more cautious approach. We may enter a rotational correction, where the extended areas pulls back while areas that have not participated like the Russell 2000 provide opportunities.

翻译：值得记住的重要一点是，纳斯达克指数超买并不是我们采取更谨慎态度的主要原因。我们可能会进入轮动调整阶段，其中延伸的板块会回调，而罗素 2000 等尚未参与的板块则会出现机会。

The reason why we are cautious is precisely because of the recent action coming from individual breakout names has been lackluster. There has been a lack of consistent follow through and a number of reversals and some failures. We do have some names that continue to hold up, which is why I'm trying to give them the benefit of the doubt, I would but de-risk names where possible.

翻译：我们之所以谨慎，正是因为近期突破个股的走势乏善可陈。突破的股票缺乏持续的跟进买入，出现了多次反转，甚至出现了一些失败。确实有一些个股继续保持坚挺，因此我尽量给予它们信任，但我会尽可能降低这些个股的风险。

本周最后三个交易日，指数连续Follow Through上涨，但突破股票不多、突破后的走势也不甚理想。

汉威科技、斯菱股份、久祺股份，突破后形成了Reversal

易明医药反转被打止损

正像MPA 24年7月9日描述的一样，个股突破后的走势，已经不能快速盈利。

接下来，让我们关注这些突破的股票能否坚挺住不止损，能否在Reversal后形成反转进而Follow Through。如果条件持续恶化，回调就快来了。

JLaw判断市场顶部的方法跟股魔基本一致，但JLaw通过自己的市场经验，使得顶部特征更明显、更易实操。像我之前的文章判断方法，就是使用了JLaw加工后的方法，是不是还算及时。

Party is over?